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Champions League · League phase, matchday 5Tuesday 24 November · 20:00 · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Madrid4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
PSV Eindhoven18th place
RMA 64%X 18%PSV 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Madrid lead by 124 points on the European rating.
  • The La Liga average is 76 points above the Eredivisie average.
  • If Real Madrid score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.56X18%5.55218%5.64
Double chance
1X82%1.22X236%2.801282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.35BTTS yes54%1.87BTTS no47%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
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Rows: Real Madrid · Columns: PSV Eindhoven2-0 probability 10.7%

Form

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