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Champions League · League phase, matchday 5Wednesday 25 November · 20:00 · Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Atlético Madrid16th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Viking33rd place
ATM 67%X 17%VIK 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Atlético Madrid lead by 145 points on the European rating.
  • If Atlético Madrid score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Viking score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.50X17%5.75216%6.21
Double chance
1X84%1.19X234%2.991283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.33BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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Rows: Atlético Madrid · Columns: Viking2-0 probability 11.3%

Form

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