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Champions League · League phase, matchday 5Wednesday 25 November · 20:00 · Jan Breydel Stadium
Club Brugge11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Liverpool3rd place
CLU 34%X 22%LIV 44%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Liverpool lead by 116 points on the European rating.
  • If Club Brugge score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Liverpool win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.94X22%4.56244%2.27
Double chance
1X56%1.79X266%1.511278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.39BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.57

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Club Brugge · Columns: Liverpool1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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