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Champions League · League phase, matchday 5Wednesday 25 November · 20:00 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter20th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Stuttgart6th place
INT 51%X 21%VFB 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • The Bundesliga average is 65 points above the Serie A average.
  • If Inter score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.3
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Inter win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.96X21%4.80228%3.54
Double chance
1X72%1.39X249%2.041279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.41BTTS yes60%1.66BTTS no40%2.51

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Inter · Columns: Stuttgart1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

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