TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Champions League · League phase, matchday 5Wednesday 25 November · 20:00 · Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille35th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2
Bayern Munich14th place
LIL 14%X 18%FCB 67%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 316 points on the European rating.
  • The Bundesliga average is 62 points above the Ligue 1 average.
  • If Lille score first, they win 39% of the time
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 86% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals0.8 – 2.1
Over 2.555%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
114%7.02X18%5.41267%1.49
Double chance
1X33%3.06X286%1.171282%1.23
Goals
Over 2.555%1.82Under 2.545%2.22BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lille · Columns: Bayern Munich0-2 probability 12.1%

Form

Compare →