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Champions League · League phase, matchday 5Wednesday 25 November · 20:00 · Parc des Princes
Paris Saint-Germain1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Roma15th place
PSG 68%X 17%ROM 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris Saint-Germain lead by 160 points on the European rating.
  • If Paris Saint-Germain score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Roma score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
168%1.47X17%5.91215%6.68
Double chance
1X85%1.18X232%3.141283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Paris Saint-Germain · Columns: Roma2-0 probability 11.8%

Form

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