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Champions League · League phase, matchday 7Tuesday 19 January · 20:00 · Allwyn Arena
AEK Athens29th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Roma15th place
AEK 28%X 22%ROM 51%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Roma lead by 169 points on the European rating.
  • If AEK Athens score first, they win 54% of the time
  • If Roma score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Roma win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.61X22%4.64251%1.97
Double chance
1X49%2.03X272%1.381278%1.27
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.35BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.46

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: AEK Athens · Columns: Roma1-1 probability 11.6%

Form

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