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Champions League · League phase, matchday 7Tuesday 19 January · 20:00 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter20th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Liverpool3rd place
INT 44%X 22%LIV 34%

Prediction

Key factors
  • The Premier League average is 123 points above the Serie A average.
  • If Inter score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.559%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Inter win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.26X22%4.63234%2.92
Double chance
1X66%1.52X256%1.791278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.541%2.41BTTS yes62%1.63BTTS no39%2.60

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Inter · Columns: Liverpool1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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