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Champions League · League phase, matchday 7Tuesday 19 January · 17:45 · Rams Park
Galatasaray23rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Feyenoord26th place
GS 59%X 19%FEY 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 78 points on the European rating.
  • The Süper Lig average is 59 points above the Eredivisie average.
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.558%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Galatasaray win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.70X19%5.16222%4.57
Double chance
1X78%1.28X241%2.421281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.32

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Galatasaray · Columns: Feyenoord1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

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