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Champions League · League phase, matchday 7Tuesday 19 January · 17:45 · Aspmyra Stadion
Bodø/Glimt28th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Atlético Madrid16th place
BOD 43%X 22%ATM 35%

Prediction

  • If Bodø/Glimt score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Atlético Madrid score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.559%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Bodø/Glimt win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.30X22%4.61235%2.87
Double chance
1X65%1.53X257%1.771278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.541%2.41BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.60

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bodø/Glimt · Columns: Atlético Madrid1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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