TR
Picks
Champions League · League phase, matchday 7Tuesday 19 January · 20:00 · Estádio do Dragão
POR 77%X 14%SLA 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Porto lead by 249 points on the European rating.
  • If Porto score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Slavia Prague score first, they win 31% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.3 – 0.6
Over 2.555%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
177%1.31X14%7.1629%10.54
Double chance
1X91%1.10X223%4.261286%1.16
Goals
Over 2.555%1.81Under 2.545%2.24BTTS yes41%2.45BTTS no59%1.69

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
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Rows: Porto · Columns: Slavia Prague2-0 probability 14.6%