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Champions League · League phase, matchday 7Tuesday 19 January · 20:00 · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Madrid4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
LASK24th place
RMA 80%X 13%LAS 8%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Madrid lead by 288 points on the European rating.
  • If Real Madrid score first, they win 93% of the time
  • If LASK score first, they win 28% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.4 – 0.5
Over 2.555%
Both teams score36%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
180%1.25X13%7.9028%13.07
Double chance
1X92%1.08X220%4.921287%1.14
Goals
Over 2.555%1.83Under 2.545%2.20BTTS yes36%2.77BTTS no64%1.57

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Madrid · Columns: LASK2-0 probability 15.9%

Form

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