TR
Picks
Champions League · League phase, matchday 7Tuesday 19 January · 20:00 · Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
LIL 69%X 17%SLO 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lille lead by 165 points on the European rating.
  • If Lille score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Slovan Bratislava score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
169%1.46X17%5.98215%6.86
Double chance
1X85%1.17X231%3.191283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.31BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
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Rows: Lille · Columns: Slovan Bratislava2-0 probability 11.9%