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Champions League · League phase, matchday 8Wednesday 27 January · 20:00 · Spotify Camp Nou
Barcelona8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Como9th place
BAR 62%X 19%COM 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Barcelona lead by 102 points on the European rating.
  • If Barcelona score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Como score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.558%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Barcelona win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
162%1.62X19%5.35220%5.09
Double chance
1X80%1.24X238%2.611281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.36BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.23

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Barcelona · Columns: Como1-1 probability 10.6%

Form

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