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Champions League · League phase, matchday 8Wednesday 27 January · 20:00 · Signal Iduna Park
Dortmund13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
AEK Athens29th place
BVB 73%X 15%AEK 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Dortmund lead by 212 points on the European rating.
  • If Dortmund score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If AEK Athens score first, they win 34% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.7
Over 2.556%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
173%1.36X15%6.59211%8.70
Double chance
1X89%1.13X227%3.751285%1.18
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.27BTTS yes45%2.22BTTS no55%1.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Dortmund · Columns: AEK Athens2-0 probability 13.4%

Form

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