TR
Picks
Champions League · League phase, matchday 8Wednesday 27 January · 20:00 · Raiffeisen Arena Linz
LASK24th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Porto34th place
LAS 25%X 21%POR 54%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Porto lead by 198 points on the European rating.
  • If LASK score first, they win 51% of the time
  • If Porto score first, they win 77% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Porto win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%4.06X21%4.73254%1.84
Double chance
1X46%2.18X275%1.331279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.33BTTS yes58%1.73BTTS no42%2.37

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: LASK · Columns: Porto1-1 probability 11.5%
LASKLLW