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Champions League · League phase, matchday 8Wednesday 27 January · 20:00 · Anfield
Liverpool3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Lens27th place
LIV 69%X 17%RCL 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Liverpool lead by 167 points on the European rating.
  • The Premier League average is 120 points above the Ligue 1 average.
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Lens score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
169%1.45X17%6.00214%6.93
Double chance
1X86%1.17X231%3.221283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.31BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Liverpool · Columns: Lens2-0 probability 12.0%

Form

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