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Champions League · League phase, matchday 8Wednesday 27 January · 20:00 · Allianz Arena
Bayern Munich14th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Real Betis5th place
FCB 77%X 14%BET 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 256 points on the European rating.
  • The Bundesliga average is 86 points above the La Liga average.
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 30% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.3 – 0.6
Over 2.555%
Both teams score40%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
177%1.30X14%7.2929%10.95
Double chance
1X91%1.10X223%4.381286%1.16
Goals
Over 2.555%1.81Under 2.545%2.23BTTS yes40%2.50BTTS no60%1.67

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bayern Munich · Columns: Real Betis2-0 probability 14.9%

Form

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