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Champions League · League phase, matchday 8Wednesday 27 January · 20:00 · Stadion Feyenoord
Feyenoord26th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
RB Leipzig30th place
FEY 40%X 22%RBL 39%

Prediction

Key factors
  • The Bundesliga average is 163 points above the Eredivisie average.
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.558%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Feyenoord win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.53X22%4.57239%2.59
Double chance
1X61%1.63X260%1.651278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.41BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.61

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Feyenoord · Columns: RB Leipzig1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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