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Conference League · League phase, matchday 3Thursday 5 November · 20:00 · Estadio Coliseum
Getafe30th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2
Brighton9th place
GET 14%X 19%BHA 67%

What does the market say?

GetafeDrawBrightonRinvalo14%19%67%
Market15%25%60%

✓ Agree · both back Brighton

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brighton lead by 314 points on the European rating.
  • The Premier League average is 145 points above the La Liga average.
  • If Getafe score first, they win 39% of the time
  • If Brighton score first, they win 86% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals0.8 – 2.1
Over 2.555%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
114%7.00X19%5.36267%1.49
Double chance
1X33%3.04X286%1.171281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.555%1.83Market 49%Under 2.545%2.21Market 51%BTTS yes49%2.05Market 49%BTTS no51%1.96Market 51%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Getafe · Columns: Brighton0-2 probability 12.1%

Form

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