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Conference League · League phase, matchday 3Thursday 5 November · 20:00 · Stade Louis II
Monaco5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
FC Nordsjælland19th place
MON 52%X 21%NOR 27%

What does the market say?

MonacoDrawFC NordsjællandRinvalo52%21%27%
Market65%19%16%

✓ Agree · both back Monaco

Prediction

  • If Monaco score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If FC Nordsjælland score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Monaco win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.93X21%4.81227%3.65
Double chance
1X73%1.38X248%2.081279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Market 65%Under 2.542%2.40Market 35%BTTS yes60%1.67Market 59%BTTS no40%2.48Market 41%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Monaco · Columns: FC Nordsjælland1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

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