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Conference League · League phase, matchday 3Thursday 5 November · 20:00 · Athens Olympic Stadium
Panathinaikos1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
CSKA Sofia23rd place
PAN 68%X 17%CSK 15%

What does the market say?

PanathinaikosDrawCSKA SofiaRinvalo68%17%15%
Market61%22%17%

✓ Agree · both back Panathinaikos

Prediction

Key factors
  • Panathinaikos lead by 157 points on the European rating.
  • If Panathinaikos score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If CSKA Sofia score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
168%1.47X17%5.87215%6.66
Double chance
1X85%1.18X232%3.121283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Market 56%Under 2.543%2.31Market 44%BTTS yes50%1.98Market 54%BTTS no50%2.02Market 46%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
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Rows: Panathinaikos · Columns: CSKA Sofia2-0 probability 11.7%

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