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Conference League · League phase, matchday 3Thursday 5 November · 20:00 · Skonto Stadions
Riga FC21st place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Jablonec24th place
RIG 53%X 21%JAB 27%

What does the market say?

Riga FCDrawJablonecRinvalo53%21%27%
Market41%27%32%

✓ Agree · both back Riga FC

Prediction

  • If Riga FC score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Jablonec score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Riga FC win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.89X21%4.85227%3.77
Double chance
1X73%1.36X247%2.121279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Market 50%Under 2.542%2.39Market 50%BTTS yes59%1.68Market 54%BTTS no41%2.46Market 46%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Riga FC · Columns: Jablonec1-1 probability 11.4%

Form

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