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Conference League · League phase, matchday 3Thursday 5 November · 20:00 · Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium
Sint-Truiden7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Brann3rd place
SIN 54%X 20%BRA 25%

What does the market say?

Sint-TruidenDrawBrannRinvalo54%20%25%
Market55%23%22%

✓ Agree · both back Sint-Truiden

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sint-Truiden lead by 41 points on the European rating.
  • If Sint-Truiden score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Brann score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Sint-Truiden win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.85X20%4.90225%3.93
Double chance
1X75%1.34X246%2.181280%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Market 61%Under 2.542%2.39Market 39%BTTS yes59%1.70Market 59%BTTS no41%2.43Market 41%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sint-Truiden · Columns: Brann1-1 probability 11.3%

Form

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