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Conference League · League phase, matchday 3Thursday 5 November · 20:00 · Stadionul Ion Oblemenco
Universitatea Craiova11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Egnatia20th place
UNI 48%X 21%EGN 30%

What does the market say?

Universitatea CraiovaDrawEgnatiaRinvalo48%21%30%
Market63%22%16%

✓ Agree · both back Universitatea Craiova

Prediction

  • If Universitatea Craiova score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Egnatia score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Universitatea Craiova win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.06X21%4.70230%3.31
Double chance
1X70%1.43X252%1.941279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Market 55%Under 2.542%2.40Market 45%BTTS yes61%1.65Market 50%BTTS no39%2.54Market 50%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Universitatea Craiova · Columns: Egnatia1-1 probability 11.6%

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