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Europa League · League phase, matchday 3Thursday 22 October · 20:00 · Tüpraş Stadyumu
Beşiktaş8th place
Full time2-2Prediction wrong
Crystal Palace15th place
BJK 42%X 22%CRY 36%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • The Premier League average is 160 points above the Süper Lig average.
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Beşiktaş win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.40X22%4.55236%2.76
Double chance
1X64%1.57X258%1.721278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.60

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Beşiktaş · Columns: Crystal Palace2-2 probability 6.3% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Beşiktaş – Crystal Palace22 October 20262-2