TR
Picks
Europa League · League phase, matchday 3Thursday 22 October · 17:45 · Allianz Stadium Turin
Juventus7th place
Full time2-2Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Rennes13th place
JUV 58%X 20%REN 22%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 76 points on the European rating.
  • If Juventus score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Rennes score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.558%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Juventus win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.71X20%5.11222%4.56
Double chance
1X78%1.28X242%2.411280%1.24
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.37BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.32

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Juventus · Columns: Rennes2-2 probability 5.3% · final score

Head to head

Juventus – Rennes22 October 20262-2