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Europa League · League phase, matchday 3Thursday 22 October · 17:45 · Stadion Maksimir
Dinamo Zagreb18th place
Full time2-4Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
NEC Nijmegen20th place
DIN 57%X 20%NEC 23%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Dinamo Zagreb lead by 66 points on the European rating.
  • If Dinamo Zagreb score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If NEC Nijmegen score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.558%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Dinamo Zagreb win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.75X20%5.05223%4.37
Double chance
1X77%1.30X243%2.341280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.37BTTS yes58%1.74BTTS no42%2.35

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Dinamo Zagreb · Columns: NEC Nijmegen2-4 probability 0.5% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Dinamo Zagreb – NEC Nijmegen22 October 20262-4