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Europa League · League phase, matchday 3Thursday 22 October · 17:45 · ENEA Stadion
Lech Poznan32nd place
Full time1-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Sunderland9th place
LEC 52%X 21%SUN 27%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
  • If Lech Poznan score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Sunderland score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Lech Poznan win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.91X21%4.82227%3.71
Double chance
1X73%1.37X248%2.101279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.39BTTS yes60%1.68BTTS no40%2.47

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lech Poznan · Columns: Sunderland1-1 probability 11.4% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Lech Poznan – Sunderland22 October 20261-1