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Europa League · League phase, matchday 3Thursday 22 October · 20:00 · Celtic Park
Celtic35th place
Full time1-2Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Celta Vigo25th place
CEL 49%X 21%CEL 29%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
  • If Celtic score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Celtic win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.03X21%4.71229%3.39
Double chance
1X71%1.42X251%1.971279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes60%1.66BTTS no40%2.52

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Celtic · Columns: Celta Vigo1-2 probability 7.0% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Celtic – Celta Vigo22 October 20261-2