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Europa League · League phase, matchday 3Thursday 22 October · 20:00 · Chorten Arena
Jagiellonia Białystok27th place
Full time0-3Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Anderlecht22nd place
JAG 48%X 21%AND 30%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
  • If Jagiellonia Białystok score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Anderlecht score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Jagiellonia Białystok win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.06X21%4.69230%3.31
Double chance
1X70%1.43X252%1.941279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.54

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Jagiellonia Białystok · Columns: Anderlecht0-3 probability 1.8% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Jagiellonia Białystok – Anderlecht22 October 20260-3