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Europa League · League phase, matchday 3Thursday 22 October · 20:00 · Karaiskakis Stadium
Olympiacos5th place
Full time1-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Sparta Prague16th place
OLY 55%X 20%SPA 25%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Olympiacos lead by 48 points on the European rating.
  • If Olympiacos score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Sparta Prague score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.558%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Olympiacos win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.81X20%4.94225%4.06
Double chance
1X75%1.33X245%2.231280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes58%1.71BTTS no42%2.41

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Olympiacos · Columns: Sparta Prague1-0 probability 8.4% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Olympiacos – Sparta Prague22 October 20261-0