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Europa League · League phase, matchday 3Thursday 22 October · 20:00 · GSP Stadium
Omonia Nicosia11th place
Full time1-4Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✓ Result correct
Benfica1st place
OMO 23%X 21%BEN 56%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Benfica lead by 214 points on the European rating.
  • If Omonia Nicosia score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If Benfica score first, they win 78% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.9
Over 2.556%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Benfica win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.36X21%4.74256%1.79
Double chance
1X44%2.27X277%1.301279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.556%1.77Under 2.544%2.30BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.31

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Omonia Nicosia · Columns: Benfica1-4 probability 2.8% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Omonia Nicosia – Benfica22 October 20261-4