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Europa League · League phase, matchday 7Thursday 21 January · 17:45 · Yerevan Football Academy
Ararat-Armenia36th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Celje29th place
ARA 41%X 22%CEL 37%

Prediction

  • If Ararat-Armenia score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Celje score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.5
Over 2.558%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Ararat-Armenia win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.42X22%4.58237%2.72
Double chance
1X63%1.58X259%1.711278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.41BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.61

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ararat-Armenia · Columns: Celje1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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