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Europa League · League phase, matchday 7Thursday 21 January · 17:45 · Goffertstadion
NEC Nijmegen20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2
Benfica1st place
NEC 16%X 19%BEN 65%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Benfica lead by 289 points on the European rating.
  • The Primeira Liga average is 63 points above the Eredivisie average.
  • If NEC Nijmegen score first, they win 42% of the time
  • If Benfica score first, they win 84% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.0
Over 2.555%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
116%6.15X19%5.21265%1.55
Double chance
1X35%2.82X284%1.191281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.555%1.81Under 2.545%2.24BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.05

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
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Rows: NEC Nijmegen · Columns: Benfica0-2 probability 11.3%

Form

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