TR
Picks
Europa League · League phase, matchday 7Thursday 21 January · 17:45 · Tüpraş Stadyumu
BJK 46%X 21%GIL 33%

Prediction

  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Union Saint-Gilloise score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.4
Over 2.559%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Beşiktaş win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.19X21%4.66233%3.04
Double chance
1X67%1.49X254%1.841279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.541%2.41BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.58

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Beşiktaş · Columns: Union Saint-Gilloise1-1 probability 11.7%