TR
Picks
Europa League · League phase, matchday 7Thursday 21 January · 17:45 · Reale Arena
RSO 53%X 20%VIK 26%

Prediction

  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Viktoria Plzen score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Real Sociedad win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.88X20%4.89226%3.81
Double chance
1X74%1.36X247%2.141280%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes59%1.68BTTS no41%2.46

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Sociedad · Columns: Viktoria Plzen1-1 probability 11.3%