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Europa League · League phase, matchday 7Thursday 21 January · 17:45 · Åråsen Stadion
Lillestrøm31st place
Rinvalo prediction0-2
Bournemouth3rd place
LIL 19%X 20%BOU 62%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 261 points on the European rating.
  • If Lillestrøm score first, they win 44% of the time
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 82% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.0 – 2.0
Over 2.556%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-2 is the likeliest score within a Bournemouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
119%5.39X20%5.03262%1.62
Double chance
1X38%2.60X281%1.231280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.27BTTS yes54%1.87BTTS no46%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lillestrøm · Columns: Bournemouth1-1 probability 10.8%

Form

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