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Europa League · League phase, matchday 7Thursday 21 January · 17:45 · Merkur Arena Graz
Sturm Graz19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
OFI26th place
STU 38%X 22%OFI 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • OFI lead by 82 points on the European rating.
  • If Sturm Graz score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If OFI score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.558%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a OFI win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.62X22%4.56240%2.51
Double chance
1X60%1.66X262%1.621278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.61

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sturm Graz · Columns: OFI1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

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