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Europa League · League phase, matchday 7Thursday 21 January · 17:45 · Groupama Aréna
Ferencvaros4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Juventus7th place
FER 50%X 21%JUV 29%

Prediction

  • If Ferencvaros score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.3
Over 2.559%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Ferencvaros win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.02X21%4.76229%3.39
Double chance
1X71%1.42X251%1.981279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.542%2.41BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.53

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ferencvaros · Columns: Juventus1-1 probability 11.6%

Form

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