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Europa League · League phase, matchday 7Thursday 21 January · 17:45 · Chorten Arena
Jagiellonia Białystok27th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Lyon12th place
JAG 35%X 22%OL 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lyon lead by 105 points on the European rating.
  • If Jagiellonia Białystok score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Lyon score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Lyon win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.83X22%4.55243%2.34
Double chance
1X57%1.75X265%1.551278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.39BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.59

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Jagiellonia Białystok · Columns: Lyon1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

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