TR
Picks
Mon 19:45ATA1-0PAR59%Mon 19:45LOR1-0BRE44%Mon 20:00DEP1-0OSA43%Mon 20:00NEW1-0EVE42%Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%
La Liga · Matchday 10Saturday 24 October · 17:30 · Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia19th place
Full time1-2Exact score
Villarreal8th place
VAL 27%X 27%VIL 46%

What does the market say?

ValenciaDrawVillarrealRinvalo27%27%46%
Market30%26%44%

✓ Agree · both back Villarreal

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Villarreal lead by 105 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Villarreal 0.7, Valencia -0.4.
  • If Valencia score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Villarreal score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.6
Over 2.554%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Villarreal win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.75X27%3.69246%2.16
Double chance
1X54%1.86X273%1.361273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.18BTTS yes57%1.74BTTS no43%2.34

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Valencia · Columns: Villarreal1-2 probability 9.4% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Valencia – Villarreal24 October 20261-2
Villarreal – Valencia22 February 20262-1
Valencia – Villarreal25 October 20250-2
Villarreal – Valencia15 February 20251-1
Valencia – Villarreal31 August 20241-1
Villarreal – Valencia17 March 20241-0