TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 10Monday 26 October · 20:00 · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla6th place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Osasuna15th place
SEV 46%X 29%OSA 25%

What does the market say?

SevillaDrawOsasunaRinvalo46%29%25%
Market49%28%23%

✓ Agree · both back Sevilla

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.545%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Sevilla win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.16X29%3.50225%3.96
Double chance
1X75%1.34X254%1.861271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.545%2.20Under 2.555%1.83BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sevilla · Columns: Osasuna2-0 probability 8.9% · final score
SevillaLDLWL
OsasunaLDLWL

Head to head

Sevilla – Osasuna26 October 20262-0
Osasuna – Sevilla26 April 20262-1
Sevilla – Osasuna8 November 20251-0
Osasuna – Sevilla24 April 20251-0
Sevilla – Osasuna2 December 20241-1
Sevilla – Osasuna28 January 20241-1