TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
La Liga · Matchday 10Saturday 24 October · 20:00 · Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Atlético Madrid2nd place
Full time1-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Result correct
Deportivo8th place
ATM 69%X 20%DEP 11%

What does the market say?

Atlético MadridDrawDeportivoRinvalo69%20%11%
Market75%16%9%

✓ Agree · both back Atlético Madrid

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Atlético Madrid lead by 152 rating points.
  • Atlético Madrid take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Atlético Madrid score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
169%1.44X20%5.04211%9.20
Double chance
1X89%1.12X231%3.251280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.557%1.77Under 2.543%2.30BTTS yes48%2.08BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Atlético Madrid · Columns: Deportivo1-0 probability 10.8% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Atlético Madrid – Deportivo24 October 20261-0