TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 10Saturday 24 October · 15:15 · Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Racing Santander16th place
Full time2-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Exact score
Espanyol14th place
RAC 40%X 26%ESP 34%

What does the market say?

Racing SantanderDrawEspanyolRinvalo40%26%34%
Market40%26%34%

✓ Agree · both back Racing Santander

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Racing Santander take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Espanyol score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.6
Over 2.565%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Racing Santander win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.50X26%3.78234%2.97
Double chance
1X66%1.51X260%1.661274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.565%1.54Under 2.535%2.85BTTS yes67%1.50BTTS no33%2.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Racing Santander · Columns: Espanyol2-1 probability 8.6% · final score

Head to head

Racing Santander – Espanyol24 October 20262-1