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La Liga · Matchday 10Saturday 24 October · 13:00 · Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano12th place
Full time0-3Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Elche17th place
RAY 57%X 25%ELC 19%

What does the market say?

Rayo VallecanoDrawElcheRinvalo57%25%19%
Market53%25%22%

✓ Agree · both back Rayo Vallecano

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Rayo Vallecano take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Rayo Vallecano -0.3, Elche -0.8.
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Elche score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.552%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Rayo Vallecano win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.76X25%4.06219%5.39
Double chance
1X81%1.23X243%2.321275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.552%1.92Under 2.548%2.08BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.08

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rayo Vallecano · Columns: Elche0-3 probability 0.9% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano – Elche24 October 20260-3
Rayo Vallecano – Elche3 April 20261-0
Elche – Rayo Vallecano21 December 20254-0
Elche – Rayo Vallecano29 April 20234-0
Rayo Vallecano – Elche3 October 20222-1
Elche – Rayo Vallecano18 February 20222-1