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Championship · Matchday 39Saturday 20 March · 15:00 · The Hawthorns
West Bromwich Albion5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Lincoln City16th place
WBA 59%X 24%LIN 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • West Bromwich Albion lead by 119 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: West Bromwich Albion 2.0 points per game, Lincoln City 0.8.
  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 46% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.8
Over 2.548%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.69X24%4.12216%6.09
Double chance
1X84%1.20X241%2.461276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.548%2.07Under 2.552%1.93BTTS yes47%2.11BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Bromwich Albion · Columns: Lincoln City1-0 probability 12.4%

Form

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