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Championship · Matchday 19Saturday 5 December · 15:00 · Molineux Stadium
Wolverhampton4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Southampton2nd place
WOL 35%X 27%SOU 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Southampton lead by 163 rating points.
  • Southampton take 1.9 points per game away.
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Southampton score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.5
Over 2.556%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Southampton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.86X27%3.65238%2.65
Double chance
1X62%1.60X265%1.541273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.28BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.50

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wolverhampton · Columns: Southampton1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Southampton – Wolverhampton15 March 20251-2
Wolverhampton – Southampton9 November 20242-0
Southampton – Wolverhampton11 February 20231-2
Wolverhampton – Southampton3 September 20221-0
Wolverhampton – Southampton15 January 20223-1
Southampton – Wolverhampton26 September 20210-1