TR
Picks
Mon 19:45ATA1-0PAR59%Mon 19:45LOR1-0BRE44%Mon 20:00DEP1-0OSA43%Mon 20:00NEW1-0EVE42%Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%
Championship · Matchday 12Saturday 24 October · 15:00 · Molineux Stadium
Wolverhampton4th place
Full time1-0Prediction correct
Watford21st place
WOL 64%X 22%WAT 15%

What does the market say?

WolverhamptonDrawWatfordRinvalo64%22%15%
Market69%19%12%

✓ Agree · both back Wolverhampton

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Wolverhampton 2.0 points per game, Watford 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Wolverhampton 0.3, Watford -0.9.
  • Wolverhampton lead by 68 rating points.
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Watford score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.559%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.57X22%4.62215%6.84
Double chance
1X85%1.17X236%2.761278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.559%1.68Under 2.541%2.46BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wolverhampton · Columns: Watford1-0 probability 9.2% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Wolverhampton – Watford24 October 20261-0
Wolverhampton – Watford10 March 20224-0
Watford – Wolverhampton11 September 20210-2