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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 12Saturday 24 October · 12:30 · The Valley
Charlton Athletic20th place
Full time1-3Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✓ Result correct
Norwich City15th place
CHA 27%X 28%NOR 45%

What does the market say?

Charlton AthleticDrawNorwich CityRinvalo27%28%45%
Market30%27%43%

✓ Agree · both back Norwich City

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Norwich City lead by 98 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Norwich City 0.3, Charlton Athletic -0.6.
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.5
Over 2.546%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Norwich City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.76X28%3.57245%2.20
Double chance
1X55%1.83X273%1.361272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Charlton Athletic · Columns: Norwich City1-3 probability 4.4% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Charlton Athletic – Norwich City24 October 20261-3
Charlton Athletic – Norwich City21 March 20260-1
Norwich City – Charlton Athletic26 December 20251-0